Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin look to bounce back from their 3-1 defeat at Heidenheim when they host Wolfsburg at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Union's home form has been their saving grace this season, the unique atmosphere of the Alte Försterei is one of the most intimidating in German football, and visiting sides consistently find it difficult.

Wolfsburg's 1-2 home defeat to Frankfurt shows a side that can be got at, and they face a difficult trip to Berlin against a Union side that will be desperate to make amends.

The Alte Försterei factor cannot be overstated. Union's home record is better than their away form, and the crowd-generated intensity drives a higher pressing tempo that Wolfsburg may struggle to cope with. Union's set-piece threat at home is a particular weapon.

We're backing Union Berlin to Win at odds of 2.05, rated as a medium confidence pick. The home advantage, bounce-back motivation after Heidenheim, and Wolfsburg's poor away form make this a value selection. Union at the Alte Försterei are a different animal to the side that lost 3-1 on the road.