Angers SCO vs OGC Nice

Nice have won three of the last four meetings, including both of their last two trips to Angers. They won 4-1 at the Raymond-Kopa on 1 September 2024, two goals up by half-time, and 2-0 there on 14 March 2026 after a goalless first half. In between they beat Angers 2-1 at home on 20 April 2025, then lost 1-0 at home to them on 7 December 2025, the only goal coming before the interval.

Across the four matches Nice scored eight and Angers three, and Angers have not scored more than once in any of them. Their one win is worth a look for how it was built: a first-half goal, then a second half at Nice in which nobody scored. That is the template Angers would need again, a lead and a clean sheet, and both parts of it have been hard for them to find this season.

Last season left the two clubs close together in the lower half. Angers finished thirteenth on 36 points, with nine wins, nine draws and sixteen defeats, 29 scored and 48 conceded. Nice were sixteenth on 32, with seven wins, eleven draws and sixteen defeats, 37 scored and 60 conceded: the lowest finish of any club still in the division.

This season has pulled them apart. Nice are eighth on 14 points from nine matches: four wins, two draws, three defeats, thirteen scored and twelve conceded. Their last five have brought twelve points and twelve goals: home wins over Lille and Strasbourg, both 2-1, a 2-1 defeat at Lyon, a 2-1 win at Brest and a 5-2 win over Rennes on 30 October. At home they are unbeaten, with three wins and two draws. Away they are not. They lost 3-0 at Paris FC, 1-0 at Auxerre and 2-1 at Lyon, and the win at Brest came from a goal down at half-time.

Angers are fifteenth on eight points: two wins, two draws, five defeats, nine scored and seventeen conceded. They won 3-1 at Auxerre in August and beat Troyes 2-0 at home in September, and have not won since. A 5-1 defeat at Brest, a 5-2 home defeat by Marseille, a 0-0 at home to Lorient and a 2-0 loss at Lyon on 1 November add up to three goals scored and twelve conceded in four matches. At home they have four points from five games, less than one a game.

Each side has nine matches behind it. Troyes, level with Angers on eight points and two goals worse off, lost at Paris Saint-Germain on 7 November and have played a game more.

Angers' first halves come first, because they decide much of what follows. Angers have conceded twelve goals before the interval this season, more than any other club in the division through nine rounds, and they have gone in behind five times. They took no points from any of those five matches. Nice have scored at least twice in four of their last five, so falling behind early is the scenario Angers can least afford.

Then there is the Angers attack: nine goals in nine matches, and four of the nine without one, two of them at home. The three goals of their last four matches came in just two of them.

The third is Nice's form and its margin, twelve points and twelve goals from the last five, with the 5-2 against Rennes the most recent.

The case against is Nice's travel record, and it is a real one. Nice have one away win from four and three away goals, and they trailed at half-time in three of those four trips. Context softens it. Two of the defeats came at Paris FC and Lyon, who have taken thirteen points from five home games each, and the third at Auxerre, whose home record is far stronger than their away one. Their one trip to a side with a home record like Angers' was to Brest, four points from four at home, and Nice won it.

Our pick is OGC Nice Draw No Bet at 1.57, rated medium confidence.

OGC Nice are in better form, own the better recent series and face a home side that has fallen behind early and failed to recover all season. The draw-no-bet protects against the result that ended Angers SCO's last home match, the 0-0 with Lorient on 25 October, at a modest cost in price. Neither side draws often — Angers twice in nine, Nice not at all away — and none of the four meetings was drawn. Medium rather than high, because Nice's away numbers are poor, and one strong factor against is enough to hold it there.

Draw-no-bet is too small a market in our record to tell us much: 13 settled picks and a return of minus 3.5%. The 1.45–1.60 price band has been one of our better ones, at plus 2.5%.

What beats it is the Nice of the road: the side that lost 1-0 at Auxerre without scoring and went in behind at half-time in three of its four away games. If that Nice turns up and Angers score first, the five-match run counts for nothing.