Our record
Every pick we publish gets a post-match report, and every settled one is counted here — the winners and the losers. This page is the arithmetic behind that promise, cut by market, by price, by league and by month.
576
Settled picks
61.7%
Strike rate
−0.1%
Return on stake
$967
Virtual bank
How this is counted. The strike rate covers all 576 settled picks. Returns assume a flat $100 stake from a $1000 starting bank, and are measured over the 459 of them we published a price for. The other 117 are excluded rather than valued at a number nobody chose; counting them at the old generator's placeholder once paid winning bets short and made this page advertise a loss the record does not support. A push returns the stake. Voided fixtures are not settled picks and appear nowhere here.
Average price taken: 1.72. At that price a pick has to land 58.0% of the time to break even, which is the number the strike rate above should be read against.
By market
Where the money actually goes. Samples this size move, so read the count alongside the return.
| Market | Settled | W–L–P | Strike | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 215 | 123–92 | 57.2% | +0.5% |
| Double chance | 209 | 143–66 | 68.4% | −1.5% |
| Over / under goals | 73 | 47–26 | 64.4% | +10.3% |
| Both teams to score | 34 | 16–18 | 47.1% | −21.0% |
| Asian handicap | 30 | 15–12–3 | 55.6% | −4.5% |
| Draw no bet | 13 | 7–5–1 | 58.3% | −3.5% |
By price
Settled picks grouped by the odds we published, which is a blunter but harder-to-fool cut than market.
| Price band | Settled | W–L–P | Strike | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up to 1.45 | 72 | 52–19–1 | 73.2% | −0.9% |
| 1.45 – 1.60 | 82 | 55–26–1 | 67.9% | +3.7% |
| 1.60 – 1.80 | 163 | 97–64–2 | 60.2% | +1.8% |
| 1.80 – 2.10 | 92 | 46–46 | 50.0% | −6.6% |
| 2.10 and up | 50 | 21–29 | 42.0% | +0.9% |
By competition
Competitions with at least ten settled picks.
| Competition | Settled | W–L–P | Strike | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 La Liga | 126 | 81–45 | 64.3% | −1.1% |
 Serie A | 104 | 66–36–2 | 64.7% | +14.0% |
 Premier League | 99 | 59–39–1 | 60.2% | −7.5% |
 Ligue 1 | 83 | 42–40–1 | 51.2% | −14.0% |
 Bundesliga | 79 | 47–32 | 59.5% | −1.8% |
 FIFA World Cup | 72 | 49–23 | 68.1% | +14.2% |
 Champions League | 13 | 9–4 | 69.2% | +24.0% |
By confidence
The rating we put on the pick before kick-off, against what it went on to do. A confidence scale that does not separate the results is not telling you anything.
| Rating | Settled | W–L–P | Strike | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 120 | 79–40–1 | 66.4% | −0.4% |
| Medium | 406 | 244–160–2 | 60.4% | −1.0% |
| Low | 50 | 30–19–1 | 61.2% | +5.9% |
Month by month
Months with at least five settled picks.
| Month | Settled | W–L–P | Strike | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 2026 | 171 | 94–77 | 55.0% | −3.5% |
| May 2026 | 131 | 81–50 | 61.8% | −14.7% |
| June 2026 | 72 | 49–23 | 68.1% | +14.2% |
| August 2026 | 97 | 63–33–1 | 65.6% | +10.2% |
| September 2026 | 105 | 66–36–3 | 64.7% | +1.7% |