Brazil vs Haiti

The expanded 48-team format guarantees fixtures like this — a traditional power against a debutant-level qualifier. Brazil against Haiti is the kind of game where the only real question is the winning margin and whether the Seleção stay switched on against vastly inferior opposition.

Brazil will rotate but the floor of their squad is still elite: even a second-string front line of Rodrygo, Endrick and a rotation winger carries more threat than Haiti's entire defence can contain over 90 minutes. Expect Brazil to dominate possession from the first whistle and create chances in volume.

Haiti's Caribbean qualification was a fine story but the gulf in individual quality is enormous. Their only viable approach is a deep, narrow block, time-wasting where they can, and hoping Brazil's concentration dips with qualification already likely secured. They lack the legs to sustain that for a full match.

The variables are Brazil's motivation and rotation, not the result. If this is their second group game with points already banked, the coaching staff may rest key men — but the replacements are still a class above. Haiti will tire physically in the second half, which is exactly when Brazil's depth tells and the scoreline can run away.

A simple Brazil win is far too short to be worth anything. The value sits in the handicap: we back Brazil -2 on the Asian line at 1.80 with medium confidence — Brazil to win by three or more, with a partial refund on a two-goal margin. Quality, depth and Haiti's inevitable second-half fade point to a comfortable rout rather than a routine 1-0.