Juventus vs Verona

Juventus are unbeaten against these opponents across the last five league meetings, and that is where the flattery in this record ends: they won two of the five and drew three. Juventus took the first 1-0 in Turin on 28 October 2023, a game goalless at half-time. Verona then drew 2-2 at home on 17 February 2024, level at the interval as well. Juventus won 3-0 in Verona on 26 August 2024, two up by the break, and 2-0 at home on 3 March 2025, again scoreless at half-time before pulling away after it. The most recent, on 20 September 2025 in Verona, finished 1-1 with both goals arriving in the first half.

For a selection that requires an outright home win, those three draws are the part worth dwelling on rather than the unbeaten run. The two Juventus home fixtures in the sequence were both won, 1-0 and 2-0, and both were level at the break. This is a fixture Juventus have controlled without ever running away with it at home: three goals scored across their two home meetings, none conceded.

Juventus finished fourth last season on 70 points, but the shape of it was unusual — 18 wins, 16 draws and only four defeats, with 58 scored and 35 conceded. Verona were 14th on 37 points, with 34 scored and 66 conceded, the second-heaviest defensive total in that final table.

Thirty-four games into the current campaign the same tendencies are visible. Juventus are fourth on 64 points from 18 wins, ten draws and six defeats, 57 scored and 29 conceded for a goal difference of plus 28. Ten draws in 34 is fewer than last season's rate but still a significant share of their season. Verona are 19th on 19 points from three wins, ten draws and 21 defeats, 23 scored and 56 conceded, a goal difference of minus 33. Three league wins in 34 games is the number that frames everything else on this page.

Juventus come in unbeaten in five: 1-1 at home to Sassuolo on 21 March, 2-0 at home to Genoa on 6 April, 1-0 at Atalanta on 11 April, 2-0 at home to Bologna on 19 April and 0-0 at Milan on 26 April. Three wins and two draws, six scored and one conceded.

Verona's five are as bleak as the table implies: 0-1 at Atalanta on 22 March, a 0-1 home defeat to Fiorentina on 4 April, 1-2 at Torino on 11 April, a 0-1 home defeat to Milan on 19 April and 0-0 at Lecce on 25 April. One point, one goal scored in five games, and four of those five lost by a single goal.

The home and away split is heavily in the favourite's favour. Juventus have ten wins, six draws and one defeat from 17 home league games, with 34 scored and 13 conceded. That single home loss is the most striking number of their season. Six home draws is the second most striking, and it is the one that threatens this particular selection: Juventus have failed to win at home on six of 17 occasions without ever really being beaten there.

Verona's away record reads two wins, five draws and ten defeats from 17, with 11 scored and 31 conceded. That is under 0.7 goals a game on the road and close to 1.9 conceded. They have, however, drawn five of those 17, and they have drawn ten matches overall — for a side with three wins, the draw has been their default route to anything at all.

The stakes are as far apart as the table. Juventus in fourth on 64 points sit three above fifth with four rounds to play, in a bracket where the places above them are within reach and the place below is close enough to matter every week. Verona's 19 points leave a maximum of 31 available to them; the side currently 16th already holds 36. There is very little left for the visitors to chase, and squads in that position in early May are typically being rotated and looked at rather than driven.

That last point cuts both ways, which is why it belongs here rather than in the verdict. A side playing without pressure and setting up to concede little has already produced 0-0 at Lecce a week ago and five away draws across the season.

Almost everything on the page supports backing the hosts. Juventus are 45 points and 15 places above the visitors, they have lost once at home all season, they have conceded once in their last five matches, and Verona have scored a single goal in the same period with three league wins to their name from 34 attempts. Against opponents in this state, a home side with that record should be a short price, and 1.55 is a fair reflection of it.

Our pick is Juventus Win at 1.55 with high confidence, and the confidence is supported by the home record — ten wins, one defeat, 13 conceded in 17 — more than by anything else.

The one thing that beats it is the draw, and it is a real risk rather than a formality. Juventus have drawn six of 17 at home. Verona have drawn ten this season including five away from home. Three of the last five meetings between these clubs were drawn, the most recent among them, and both Juventus home fixtures in that sequence were goalless at half-time before the hosts found a way through. A visiting side with nothing to lose, defending deep and content with a point, is exactly the profile that has taken points off Juventus at home this season. At 1.55 there is no room in the price for that outcome.