Torino FC vs Como 1907

Como have won the last three meetings between these clubs, and last season they did it in a way that still shapes how the fixture reads. The two matches finished 1-5 in Turin on 24 November 2025 and 6-0 in Como on 24 January 2026 — a combined 11-1.

The Turin match is the one to look at closely, because it was 1-1 at half-time. Whatever happened to Torino in the second half of that afternoon, it was not a side that was outclassed from the start — it was a side that came apart once the game opened up, at home, in front of their own supporters. The return in Como was effectively settled by the interval at 2-0 and then became a rout.

The first of the three was a 1-0 Como home win on 13 April 2025. The one result in Torino's favour is a 1-0 home win on 25 October 2024, goalless at the break — two years old, and one of only two matches in four in which Torino scored against this opponent at all.

Four meetings, three Como wins, and Torino conceding five, six and one in the three they lost.

Torino finished thirteenth last season on 45 points, with 44 scored and 63 conceded — the second-worst defensive record in the division. This season has brought seven points from six matches and the same thirteenth place: two wins, a draw and three defeats, seven goals scored and nine conceded. They lost at home to Milan and Roma, lost at Sassuolo, won at Fiorentina, drew at Bologna, and beat Udinese 2-1 in Turin on 12 October. Three home matches have produced one win, two defeats, three goals scored and five conceded.

One note on those figures: they are the table as it stood when we published, and Torino have a fixture in between. Treat the position as a snapshot rather than the state of play at kick-off.

Como finished fourth last season on 71 points from 20 wins, 11 draws and 7 defeats, scoring 65 and conceding 29 — the best defensive record in Serie A and the second-highest goals tally. They have carried it over. Seven matches have brought four wins, two draws and one defeat for 14 points, fourth again, with twelve scored and seven conceded.

The away record is the relevant half. Five trips: a 1-1 draw at Udinese, a 2-1 win at Napoli, a 4-1 win at Genoa, a 0-2 defeat at Frosinone and a 3-1 win at Fiorentina on 18 October. Three wins, a draw and a defeat, ten goals scored on the road. At home they have been quieter — a 2-1 win over Parma and a 0-0 draw with Roma.

Seven matches is a genuine sample at this point in the season, and in Como's case it matches last season's full thirty-eight closely enough to be believable.

The first factor is the obvious one: Como are a better team than Torino by seven points over an almost equal number of matches, and were twenty-six points better across last season. Nothing in either club's record this autumn suggests that gap has closed.

Second, this is a fixture Como travel well for. Ten goals in five away matches, and three wins including one at Napoli, is the profile of a side that does not need home comforts. Their only away defeat came at a promoted club, and their quietest football this season has actually come at their own ground.

Third, Torino's home record. One win in three, five conceded, and a defence that shipped 63 goals across last season. The two heaviest defeats on Torino's recent record both came against this opponent, one of them at home.

Fourth, the head-to-head is not a single freak result. Three straight wins, two of them by four goals or more, and Torino failing to score at all in two of the four meetings.

Fifth, the timing. Matchday nine, with Como in a European position and Torino closer to the bottom of the table than to the top half. Como have something concrete to protect and a record of going out to win away matches to do it.

The counterweight is Torino's 2-1 win over Udinese and the fact that Como did lose 0-2 at Frosinone — away form that good is not away form that is immune.

Our pick is Como 1907 Win at 2.25, rated high confidence.

Four things align. Como 1907 sit fourth on 14 points having won three of five away matches and scored ten goals doing it. Torino FC sit thirteenth on seven, with one home win in three and the division's second-worst defensive record from last season still fresh. The last three meetings all went to Como, two of them by 6-0 and 5-1. And Como's underlying season — fourth last year with the best defence in Serie A, fourth now — is the most stable thing on this page.

The price matters as much as the pick. At 2.25 this sits in the only band where our published record is clearly positive: selections at 2.10 and above have returned plus 7.2% across 384 priced picks, against minus 2.1% overall. An away win at a mid-table club is exactly the shape of bet that band is made of, and we would not be interested in the same argument at 1.60.

What beats it is a Torino performance like the first half of last November's meeting in Turin, which was level at 1-1. They are capable of making this uncomfortable for an hour, and a single goal would be enough — Como have drawn two of seven and lost at a promoted side already. A narrow home win or a draw is the risk. We think the price pays for it.