Hull City AFC 1-1 Brentford FC: Premier League Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Hull City AFC 1-1 Brentford FC, and the order of events is not in doubt. Hull led at half-time, so the only goal of the second half was Brentford's equaliser. Who scored either goal, and when, is not on record.

Hull came in eleventh on nine points from seven, goal difference +1, and unbeaten at home: a 2-0 win over Manchester United and draws with Aston Villa and Everton. Brentford were seventh on ten at +5, and had drawn every away game they had played, 1-1 at Leeds and 2-2 at both Bournemouth and Aston Villa. Both of those patterns survived the afternoon.

That makes four away matches and four draws for Brentford, and five draws from eight overall. It was also the first time this season they had been behind at half-time — they had led or been level at the break in all seven earlier games — and they still left with a point.

For Hull the home run stretches to four unbeaten, with three goals conceded across them. The wider run is less comfortable: the point leaves them without a win in six since the 1-0 at Coventry on 29 August, though four of those six have been draws. There is no previous meeting between these clubs on record.

Not much, which fits two clubs a point apart. Brentford finished ninth last season on 53 points with eleven draws; eleven points from eight is almost exactly that rate, about 1.4 a game, and five draws in eight is a sharper version of the same habit. They have not won away from home this season, and they have not lost there either.

Hull were not in the division last season, so ten points from eight is the whole comparison. It is a competent return for a promoted club, built mainly at home, where six of the ten have come. A point behind Brentford at kick-off, they are a point behind them at the end, with the goal differences exactly where they were, +1 and +5. Eight matches cannot say whether Hull hold that level or drift from it.

Our preview's call was Double Chance 1X (Hull City AFC or Draw) at 1.52. Confidence was medium, resting on two literal patterns: three away games, three Brentford draws; three home games, no Hull defeat. The pick needed one of them to hold for one more match.

Both held, but narrowly. Hull's half-time lead put them on course for the win, Brentford's equaliser moved the match onto the other half of the selection, and one more Brentford goal would have beaten it. The preview's warning about Brentford's ceiling, two 3-0 home wins in seven, was the right one to make. Its own record also noted that double chance at short prices has lost money even while striking about two times in three, and one match does not change that arithmetic.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have won, but the preview only went live after kick-off.