Olympique de Marseille 4-3 Le Havre AC: Ligue 1 Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Olympique de Marseille 4-3 Le Havre AC splits cleanly at the interval. Marseille won the first half 2-0, Le Havre won the second 3-2, and the home side finished a single goal clear of the club at the bottom of the table. The record does not give the order of the five second-half goals, so it cannot say how close Le Havre came to a point, or when.

Le Havre arrived eighteenth on two points, without a win in seven and with five league goals all season. Marseille were tenth on nine with a goal difference of plus four, coming off wins at Troyes and Angers. Three goals after the break from a side that had scored five in seven matches is the least expected number in the match, and it is Le Havre's highest total of the season by one. They still lost.

For Marseille it is a third straight win and eleven goals across those three. It is also the second time this season they have conceded three at the Stade Vélodrome, after the 3-2 defeat by Paris FC in September; four home matches have now brought two wins, two defeats and eight goals against. The scoring has come back faster than the defending.

The head-to-head extends to five Marseille wins from five on record, and the three played in Marseille have now finished 5-1, 6-2 and 4-3.

Marseille move to twelve points from eight with a goal difference of plus five. That is still below the 1.7 a game that brought fifth place last season, 59 points from 34, but three straight wins have turned one win from their first five into four from eight. The wider gap is at the back: they conceded 45 in 34 matches last season and have let in thirteen in eight.

Le Havre stay on two points, with six defeats and two draws from eight, and a goal difference of minus seven. Last season they survived in fourteenth on 35 points, drawing fourteen times, more than any other club in the division; this season's side has drawn twice and not won. There are 26 matches left, so it is too early to call it anything worse than a poor start; the three goals here are more than a third of their season's total.

Our preview's call was Olympique de Marseille Win at 1.44. Confidence was high, and its four supporting factors all concerned Le Havre's weakness or Marseille's attack: bottom and winless, five goals in seven, four defeats in four recorded meetings, and a Marseille attack that had just scored nine in two.

The 4-3 is a fair rebuke to the rating. The preview's one stated worry was Marseille's home form and a first half that stayed level; the first half did not stay level, and the danger came from somewhere it had not looked. A side averaging 0.71 goals a game scored three in one half. The preview had noted that Marseille's defence was not holding up, then left it out of the case; a high rating should have priced it.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have won, but the preview only went live after kick-off.