Toulouse FC 0-0 ES Troyes AC: Ligue 1 Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Troyes arrived on five straight defeats and left with their first clean sheet since the opening weekend: Toulouse FC 0-0 ES Troyes AC, goalless at the break and goalless at the end.

The table pointed the other way. Toulouse were twelfth on nine points with a goal difference of plus one; Troyes were seventeenth on four, minus eleven, with sixteen goals conceded in seven matches. Their only previous clean sheet had been the 0-0 against Paris FC on the opening day.

For Toulouse it was a familiar home afternoon. They have now played four league matches at home and scored three goals in them, all in the 3-2 against Le Havre in September; Lyon, Lille and now Troyes have all left without conceding. Away from home they are unbeaten in four, with nine goals scored. That home-and-away gap is now the clearest thing about their season.

Troyes' record leans the same way, even more sharply. Four of their five points have come away from home, from the 2-1 at Lorient in August and this draw, while four home matches have brought one. There was no previous meeting between the clubs on record; Troyes were not in Ligue 1 last season.

The table barely changed. Toulouse move to ten points from eight, two wins, four draws and two defeats, with the goal difference still plus one. Last season they finished tenth on 44 points from 33 matches, about 1.3 a game; they are at 1.25, so the mid-table pattern holds almost exactly. What has changed is where the points come from: six of their ten have been taken away from home.

Troyes reach five points with the goal difference unchanged at minus eleven. There is no previous Ligue 1 season to measure them against, and eight games is a small base on which to judge a promoted side. The point ends a run of five straight defeats. It does not change a scoring record of five goals in eight matches.

Our preview's call was Toulouse FC Win at 1.70. Rated medium confidence, it argued that Toulouse only had to be ordinary: a settled side, unbeaten in four and coming off a 3-0 win, against a promoted club on five straight defeats with sixteen conceded in seven.

The flaw was where Toulouse had been ordinary. Three of the four unbeaten matches, and the 3-0, came away from home; at home they had scored three in three and lost to Lyon and Lille. The preview listed that and Toulouse's draw habit as reasons to stop at medium, then backed a side with three home goals all season to win. It also noted that Troyes averaged under a goal a game, which made a goalless draw the most obvious way for the pick to fail.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have lost, but the preview only went live after kick-off.