Udinese Calcio 0-2 AC Milan: Serie A Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Udinese have now lost six league matches in a row, and for the third home match running they did not score. Udinese Calcio 0-2 AC Milan was 0-1 at the interval, and the only goal of the second half was Milan's too, so at no point did Udinese draw level. Their last goal in Udine came in a 1-2 defeat by Lazio on 7 September.

At kick-off Udinese were sixteenth on four points from seven, with nine scored and sixteen conceded and no win in four home matches. Milan were fifth on 15 from the same number, unbeaten, a week on from a 3-2 home win over Atalanta.

The interval lead was new for Milan on the road this season. Their four earlier away matches had been goalless at half-time three times, and at Lazio they had been 2-0 down. The result also kept this pairing's odd pattern going: five meetings on record, no draws, and in every one the winner kept a clean sheet. Milan's three visits to Udine in that run have finished 4-0, 3-0 and now 2-0. Beyond the split at the break, nothing records when either goal came.

Milan are unbeaten after eight, on 18 points with a goal difference of plus nine. Last season's 70 points worked out at 1.84 a match; this season's rate is 2.25. The away record has changed shape too: two wins and three draws now, against one win and three draws before this trip.

Udinese's numbers are the starker ones. Four points from eight, six defeats in a row, no home win in five and two home goals all season. They finished tenth on 50 points last year with 45 scored; this season they are taking points at well under half that rate, 0.5 a match against 1.3. Eight games is a fifth of a season and thirty remain, so this is not yet a relegation story, but a six-match losing run is more than a bad fortnight.

Our preview's call was Draw No Bet AC Milan at 1.42.

The market was built around Milan's away draws: one win and three draws on the road, so a level match would return the stake. That cover never came into play, because Milan led at the break and added a second. The half of the argument that described the evening was Udinese's home form, no win in four with two goals scored, and they failed to score again. The preview noted that the four previous meetings had produced no draws, and that detail was a better guide here than Milan's draws elsewhere. The shorter price was the cost of insurance the match did not need.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have won, but the preview only went live after kick-off.