US Lecce 0-2 Juventus FC: Serie A Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Juventus had scored two first-half goals in seven league matches before this one, and they scored two in the first half at Lecce. US Lecce 0-2 Juventus FC was 0-2 at the interval, and the second half added nothing at either end.

The table put them two points apart. Juventus came in tenth on 11 from seven, a week after losing 3-0 at home to Lazio; Lecce were twelfth on nine from the same number, coming off a 3-0 win at Udinese. Lecce's home matches had been the open part of their season: 0-4 against Roma, 3-2 against Monza and 1-2 against Bologna, twelve goals in three.

This was the first of Lecce's four home matches to finish with fewer than three goals, and the second in which they failed to score. The fixture kept to habit. Juventus are unbeaten in five meetings with Lecce on record, and the three played in Lecce have produced five goals between them: 1-1, 0-1 and now 0-2. Juventus have won the last two there. Neither goal is timed on the record, so the split is as far as the account goes.

Juventus have 14 points from eight and a goal difference of plus three. Against last season, when 69 points brought sixth place, the points rate is almost unchanged, 1.75 a match against 1.82. The scoring is not: 11 goals in eight, against 61 in 38. Six of their eight matches have now had two goals or fewer, and a clean-sheet win away from home, a week after losing by three at home, fits that profile better than the Lazio result did.

Lecce stay on nine from eight, and the split in their season has widened. Away from home they have won two of four; at home they have one win in four, with four goals scored and ten conceded. Last season they stayed up in seventeenth on 38 points with 28 goals. Nine from eight is slightly ahead of that rate, 1.1 a match against 1.0, which puts them roughly where they were a year ago, with their own ground, not the road, as the weaker half.

Our preview's call was Under 2.5 Goals at 1.72.

The preview set Juventus's low-scoring matches, five of six under the line, against Lecce's home games, twelve goals in three, and said one of the two patterns would give way. Lecce's did. The route there was narrower than the reasoning suggested, though. Two goals by the break left the total one goal from the line for a full half, and nothing in the argument pointed to a goalless second half rather than the 2-1 it had named as the way it loses. Its Juventus evidence had also weakened before kick-off: the 0-3 at home to Lazio made it five of seven, not five of six.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have won, but the preview only went live after kick-off.