VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach: Bundesliga Match Report, 23 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Six matches, six defeats, and then a win away from home. VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach on the Friday night was 1-1 at the interval, with the visitors taking the second half 2-1. The record holds no order for the goals in either half, so who led, and when, is not known.

Mönchengladbach arrived eighteenth, the only club in the division still without a point, on a goal difference of minus twelve, and their away record was the worst part of it: one goal in three trips, ten conceded. They scored three here. They still conceded twice, which makes it seven matches out of seven in which they have let in at least two, but for the first time the scoring end did enough.

Stuttgart came in thirteenth on six points at minus two, a long way from the side that finished fourth last season. This was their fifth defeat in seven league games; last season they lost eight in 34. It was also their second home defeat in three, after Dortmund won 1-0 there in September, and the three goals they conceded were the most since the 5-1 at Bayern München in the season's opening match.

The result echoes the one exception in the recent head-to-head. Stuttgart had won three of the previous four meetings on record, and the other was a Mönchengladbach win in Stuttgart in February 2025.

Mönchengladbach have three points from seven games and a goal difference of minus eleven. It ends the losing run rather than starting anything. Last season they finished twelfth on 38, better than a point a game, and they remain a long way below that rate. But a side that had shown no way of taking points on the road has now taken three there, from a club that finished fourth.

For Stuttgart the comparison with last season is the stark one: fourth on 62 points with a goal difference of plus 22 then, six points from seven and minus three now. That is less than half of last season's rate, with two defeats in a row, at Hamburg and here. Seven games is early enough for a correction, and nothing in this result says whether one is coming.

Our preview's call was VfB Stuttgart Win at 1.62.

The case, as the preview put it, rested on the visitors rather than the hosts: six defeats, twenty conceded, one goal in three away games. Every one of those numbers was accurate, and the misjudgement was in what they were asked to carry. Nothing on Stuttgart's side supported a price that short. They had two wins in six and eight goals, had lost at Hamburg the week before, and the preview itself called them poor at the moment. It leaned instead on a head-to-head of three wins in four, which it had already said told us nothing about this season's Stuttgart. A weak opponent is not a reason to back a side that is barely winning itself.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have lost, but the preview only went live after kick-off.