FC Internazionale Milano 2-1 ACF Fiorentina: Serie A Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

Nothing at half-time, three goals after it: FC Internazionale Milano 2-1 ACF Fiorentina. The goalless first half was the surprise. Inter's four home matches this season had produced five, five, eight and three goals, and Fiorentina had conceded in all seven of their matches. The second half went 2-1 to Inter, enough for a fifth home win from five. With no goal times on record, the order of those three goals is unknown; Inter simply finished one ahead.

Second against eighteenth, 19 points against four: Inter started unbeaten with a goal difference of plus 12, Fiorentina with one win and minus nine. Last season the distance between them was 45 points, Inter champions on 87 and Fiorentina fifteenth on 42.

Home meetings in this fixture follow a pattern. Inter have now won all three on record at San Siro, 2-1 in February 2025, 3-0 in October 2025 and this one, and the October 2025 match was also goalless at half-time before Inter scored three in the second. Fiorentina conceded for the eighth match out of eight, but kept the margin to one.

Inter move to 22 points from eight, still unbeaten. Their title last season came at 2.3 points a game and this start is running at 2.75, but eight matches into 38 that says they have started well, not that anything is decided.

Fiorentina stay on four points from eight, and the arithmetic is now the story. Last season Lecce survived in seventeenth on 38 points. To reach that, Fiorentina need 34 from their remaining 30 matches, slightly more than a point a game, which is roughly the rate at which they collected 42 points across 2025/26. That is far from impossible, but it asks the next 30 matches to look like last season's average and nothing like the first eight. They have already conceded 19, more than a third of last season's 50.

Our preview's call was Over 2.5 Goals at 1.45.

Four strands pointed to goals: Inter over the line in all four home matches, Fiorentina in six of seven, a head-to-head with three goals in three of four meetings, and a Fiorentina defence that had conceded in every match. The preview also wrote down what would beat it, a Fiorentina side keeping the first half goalless, and noted that a 0-0 at half-time would leave the match needing three goals in 45 minutes. That is how the first half went. The volume the preview expected arrived only after the interval, and high confidence sat uneasily with a risk the preview had spelled out itself and that then held for a full half.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have won, but the preview only went live after kick-off.