SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München: Bundesliga Match Report, 25 October 2026

Our preview of this match was written on 18 October 2026 but only went live on 1 November, after the final whistle. Its pick is reviewed below as it was written, and it is left out of our win rate and bankroll.

SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München, and the visitors were two goals up by half-time. The second half was shared 1-1. In what order those two goals came, the record does not say, so whether Freiburg ever got back within one cannot be stated.

The table made this second against third: Bayern on fourteen points at plus seventeen, Freiburg a point behind on thirteen at plus nine. Freiburg's place there had been built at home, three wins from three with eleven scored and two conceded, and Bayern scored more here than Freiburg had conceded in those three games together. It was Freiburg's first home defeat of the season and a second straight loss, after the 2-1 at Leverkusen a week earlier.

It also changed the picture of Bayern away from Munich. Their three previous trips had brought a 0-0 at Schalke, a 2-1 at Elversberg and a 2-2 at Augsburg: five points from nine and four goals. Three goals is their highest away total of the season, and this was the first time on the road they had led by two at half-time.

The head-to-head now reads five Bayern wins from five meetings on record, three of them in Freiburg.

Bayern leave with 17 points from seven games and a goal difference of plus nineteen. That is level on points with Dortmund and eleven goals better on difference, which puts the champions back on top. Freiburg stay on thirteen, now at plus seven.

Neither club's season looks very different for it. Bayern won the title last season with 89 points, losing once in 34 games, and their two draws so far, at Schalke and Augsburg, are the only dents. Freiburg finished seventh on 47 with a goal difference of minus six, and thirteen from seven is a sharp improvement on that rate, even with two defeats in a row. A home loss to the champions does not undo it. What it does is reset the comparison: the table had Freiburg a point off Bayern before kick-off, and they are now four behind and twelve goals worse off on difference.

Our preview's call was Over 2.5 Goals at 1.45.

The argument had three parts: both clubs' matches clearing the line five times in six, both previous meetings at this ground producing three goals or more, and Freiburg scoring nearly four a game at home. Its main fear was Bayern repeating their away pattern with a controlled 1-0 or 2-0, and at half-time the score was exactly that. What came after did not follow the argument's route. Freiburg's home attack, the strand the case leaned on hardest, managed one goal. Bayern's road scoring, which the preview had read as efficient rather than overwhelming, produced three. The goals came from the side the argument expected least of, which is a weaker endorsement of the reasoning than the scoreline suggests.

Verdict: not counted. The pick would have won, but the preview only went live after kick-off.